Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Try this out...

A affirms that B denies that C declares that D is a liar. Knowing that A, B, C and D each speak the truth once in three times (independently), figure out the probability that D was telling the truth.

Source: Sir Arthur Stanley Eddington in Volume 57 of American Mathematical Monthly, reproduced in Mathematical Medley, volume 33 no 2.

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